Saturday, February 24, 2018

Berkshire Hathaway Book Value and Intrinsic Value Update

Berkshire Hathaway Book Value and Intrinsic Value continue to grow slowly and steadily. At 4Q2017 Book Value per BRK.B share is $141 and Intrinsic Value projected stands at $200 per BRK.B share thanks to the reduced corporation tax rate in US.

Berkshire Hathaway value can be derived as a sum of parts based on Equity Investments per share + Cash and Fixed Income securities per share + Subsidiary company value per share. As of 2017 year end Equity Investments (Including Kraft Heinz) total $196B which equates to close to $80 per share. The cash position and fixed income securities at year end is $116B which equates to $47 per share. Berkshire private owned investments including Insurance, BNSF Railway, BH Energy, Manufacturing and Retailing companies continue to perform well. BRK Insurance float increased to $115B which is $46 per share in float although due to major events the insurance division generated a net loss for the year. Increased market share and premiums imply likely profits in next few years assuming no major catastrophe events. We can expect BRK to generate $30B in annualized cash earnings in 2018 and beyond with possible growth as the $116B net cash is invested productively.

We expect 2018 year end BRK.B Book Value to be $155 and Fair Value to be in the range of $215 to $225. We expect 2022 year end Fair Value per share to range between $275 to $350. This is a good return for a conservatively run company with businesses with moderate exposure to technology disruption. 

Read Berkshire 2017 Annual Report for further details.

No comments:

Post a Comment