Wednesday, October 17, 2018

FB at $150 - An Attractive Entry at 20 Times Forward Earnings

Facebook (FB) at $150 is trading  at a very attractive entry point at 20 Times Forward Earnings.
FB is valued at ~$400B excluding excess cash which is a very attractive price for a dominant company in its industry of Social Networking and Advertising. FB has strong products including FaceBook, Instagram, Whatsapp, Messenger. Instagram and Whatsapp will  be monetized over the coming years. FB also has 19% market share in the fast growing online advertising space with GOOGL having 37% share and AMZN catching up with 5% market share.

Even assuming reduced margins going forward for FB due to increased spending for security and impact of regulations for a company that can grow revenue and earnings 20%+ for next 5+ years $150 and $400B excluding cash is an attractive price. Any additional innovation by FB can add additional upside. Projected FB target price 3 to 5 years out from Oct 2018 is $250 to $350.